First a swingstate, now a bellwether: are they nuts?

Virginia as a bellwether of Obama's reelection chances? You've got to be kidding me. Obama was only the second Democrat to carry Virginia in over fifty years. Unlike California's switch to solid blue with the 1992 election, this was a fluke. Maybe if Obama has a small landslide reelection he'll take Virginia too mainly  on the strength of black turnout, but otherwise it's going Republican in 2012 whether Obama gets reelected or not.